Structured practice with integrated multivariate analysis in South Asian development contexts
Each case study follows a systematic analytical sequence:
You are analyzing factors affecting school enrollment among children aged 6-14 in rural Bangladesh. Your research question: "What are the primary barriers to educational access, and how do they differ for boys and girls?"
Study design: Cross-sectional survey of 1,200 households across 75 villages in three districts
Key variables: Enrollment status, distance to school, household income, parental education, child gender, household size
| Variable | Overall Mean (SD) | Boys Mean (SD) | Girls Mean (SD) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enrollment rate (%) | 68.4 (47.0) | 72.8 (44.5) | 63.9 (48.0) |
| Distance to school (km) | 2.3 (1.8) | 2.3 (1.8) | 2.3 (1.8) |
| Household income (Taka/month) | 12,450 (8,200) | 12,380 (8,150) | 12,520 (8,250) |
| Parental education (years) | 3.2 (2.8) | 3.1 (2.7) | 3.3 (2.9) |
| Household size | 5.8 (2.1) | 5.9 (2.1) | 5.7 (2.1) |
Calculate and interpret correlations between enrollment and potential barriers:
1. Strongest relationship:
2. Surprising findings:
3. Intervention implications:
Compare enrollment rates across distance categories and by gender:
| Distance Category | n | Enrollment Rate (%) | Standard Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
| < 1 km | 320 | 82.5 | 38.0 |
| 1-2 km | 480 | 71.2 | 45.3 |
| 2-3 km | 280 | 58.6 | 49.3 |
| > 3 km | 120 | 41.7 | 49.5 |
ANOVA Results: F = 28.4, p < 0.001
1. Distance ANOVA interpretation:
2. Gender differences:
3. Critical distance threshold:
Build a logistic regression model to predict enrollment probability:
| Variable | Coefficient | Odds Ratio | p-value | 95% CI for OR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 0.68 | 1.97 | 0.023 | - |
| Distance to school (km) | -0.51 | 0.60 | < 0.001 | 0.52-0.69 |
| Household income (Taka 1000s) | 0.04 | 1.04 | 0.002 | 1.01-1.07 |
| Parental education (years) | 0.18 | 1.20 | < 0.001 | 1.12-1.28 |
| Female child | -0.42 | 0.66 | 0.006 | 0.49-0.88 |
| Distance × Female | -0.28 | 0.76 | 0.041 | 0.58-0.99 |
Model Statistics: Pseudo R² = 0.23, AUC = 0.74
1. Distance coefficient interpretation:
2. Interaction effect interpretation:
3. Probability calculation:
Logit = 0.68 + (-0.51)(3) + (0.04)(15) + (0.18)(5) + (-0.42)(1) + (-0.28)(3×1)
Logit = 0.68 + ____ + ____ + ____ + ____ + ____
Logit = ____
Probability = e^(logit) / (1 + e^(logit)) = ____
Integrate your findings across all three analyses:
What is the complete story about educational barriers in rural Bangladesh?
How do findings differ for boys vs. girls?
Which analytical method provided the most useful insights?
Based on your statistical analysis, provide three specific, evidence-based policy recommendations:
1. Primary recommendation:
2. Gender-specific intervention:
3. Household-level support:
What additional data would strengthen your recommendations?
What are the key limitations of this analysis?
How might cultural factors affect your statistical interpretations?
You are evaluating factors affecting adoption of climate-smart agricultural practices across 400 smallholder farmers in India, Bangladesh, and Pakistan. Research question: "What predicts successful adoption of climate-smart farming techniques, and how do effects vary by country?"
Study design: Multi-country cross-sectional survey with 18-month follow-up
Key variables: Adoption rate (%), country, farm size, education, extension contact, previous yield loss, risk tolerance
| Country | n | Adoption Rate (%) | Avg Farm Size (ha) | Avg Education (years) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 150 | 68.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 |
| Bangladesh | 125 | 72.8 | 0.9 | 4.6 |
| Pakistan | 125 | 45.6 | 2.4 | 5.8 |
Examine relationships between adoption and potential predictors:
| Variable | Correlation with Adoption | p-value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Farm size (hectares) | 0.34 | < 0.001 | |
| Education (years) | 0.42 | < 0.001 | |
| Extension contact (binary) | 0.56 | < 0.001 | |
| Previous yield loss (binary) | 0.38 | < 0.001 | |
| Risk tolerance | 0.29 | 0.003 |
1. Variable ranking by importance:
1st:
2nd:
3rd:
4th:
5th:
2. Most actionable finding:
Compare adoption rates across countries and by key categorical variables:
ANOVA Results: F = 18.7, p < 0.001, η² = 0.086
| Extension Contact | n | Mean Adoption (%) | Standard Deviation |
|---|---|---|---|
| No contact | 168 | 48.2 | 50.0 |
| Had contact | 232 | 73.7 | 44.1 |
t-test: t = 5.28, p < 0.001, Cohen's d = 0.53
| Farm Size | n | Adoption Rate (%) | SD |
|---|---|---|---|
| < 1 hectare | 158 | 52.5 | 50.1 |
| 1-2 hectares | 142 | 68.3 | 46.7 |
| > 2 hectares | 100 | 74.0 | 44.1 |
ANOVA: F = 9.8, p < 0.001
1. Country differences explanation:
2. Extension contact effect size:
Effect size (Cohen's d) = (73.7 - 48.2) / pooled SD
Given Cohen's d = 0.53, this is a ________ effect (small=0.2, medium=0.5, large=0.8)
3. Farm size scalability implications:
Build a comprehensive model predicting adoption:
| Variable | Coefficient | Std Error | t-value | p-value | Beta (standardized) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 15.2 | 8.4 | 1.81 | 0.071 | - |
| Extension contact (1=yes) | 22.8 | 4.2 | 5.43 | < 0.001 | 0.32 |
| Education (years) | 2.1 | 0.8 | 2.63 | 0.009 | 0.16 |
| Farm size (hectares) | 6.8 | 2.1 | 3.24 | 0.001 | 0.19 |
| Previous yield loss (1=yes) | 14.6 | 5.1 | 2.86 | 0.004 | 0.17 |
| Bangladesh (vs India) | 8.9 | 4.8 | 1.85 | 0.065 | 0.11 |
| Pakistan (vs India) | -18.4 | 5.2 | -3.54 | < 0.001 | -0.22 |
Model Statistics: R² = 0.48, Adjusted R² = 0.46, F = 60.2, p < 0.001
1. Largest impact variable:
2. Pakistan coefficient interpretation:
3. Prediction calculation:
Adoption = 15.2 + 22.8(1) + 2.1(8) + 6.8(1.5) + 14.6(1) + 8.9(0) + (-18.4)(1)
= 15.2 + ____ + ____ + ____ + ____ + ____ + ____
= _____% adoption rate
Primary drivers (in order of importance):
Country-specific patterns:
Implications for scaling programs:
1. Immediate action (highest impact):
2. Country-specific strategies:
3. Supporting interventions:
You are analyzing water access inequality across 85 Indian cities. Research question: "What factors best predict equitable water access, and how can cities improve service delivery for low-income households?"
Study design: Multi-city comparative analysis using municipal data
Outcome variables: Overall water access (%), Low-income household access (%), Equity gap
| Variable | Mean | Std Dev | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall water access (%) | 71.2 | 18.4 | 35.0 - 95.0 |
| Low-income access (%) | 52.8 | 22.6 | 15.0 - 88.0 |
| Equity gap (percentage points) | 18.4 | 9.2 | 3.0 - 42.0 |
| Per capita investment (₹1000s) | 8.7 | 4.2 | 2.1 - 22.8 |
| Transparency index (1-10) | 5.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 - 9.5 |
| Population (millions) | 2.4 | 3.1 | 0.2 - 18.5 |
Complete the three-phase analysis independently, then synthesize findings:
What do the correlation patterns tell us about water access drivers?
Why might transparency matter more than investment?
How would you set up ANOVA to test regional differences?
What city size categories would you create and why?
What would your regression model look like?
DV:
Key IVs:
Control variables:
How would you handle the equity gap vs overall access distinction?
Top 3 recommendations based on statistical evidence:
1. Governance-focused interventions:
2. Equity-specific programs:
3. Resource optimization strategies:
How would you convince city officials to prioritize transparency over just increasing investment?
How do patterns in urban water access compare to rural education and agricultural adoption?
What common themes emerge across all three South Asian development challenges?
Compare patterns across all three case studies:
What does this suggest about development priorities in South Asia?
This handout is part of the ImpactMojo 101 Knowledge Series
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